Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Hintz 53.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 64.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Nelson
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
Hintz
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
4
Nelson
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
53.6% (711)
-2.3%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
53.8% (93)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
58.7% (46)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hintz
Home
52.5% (590)
52.6% (460)
Away
51.7% (619)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Nelson
Hintz
P1
50.5%
59.0%
P2
54.4%
52.7%
P3
51.4%
51.1%
OT
47.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |