Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Hintz 53.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 75.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 71.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Nelson
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Nelson
Hintz
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
5
Nelson
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
4
Nelson
Hintz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
3
Nelson
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
53.8% (3,722)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
55.4% (567)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
52.9% (221)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Nelson
Hintz
Home
50.0% (5,845)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Nelson
Hintz
P1
48.7%
55.5%
P2
48.5%
53.9%
P3
47.7%
52.7%
OT
45.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |