Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Wright 50.3% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Wright 52.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 63.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Nelson
Wright
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
52.6% (76)
-6.5%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
20.0% (5)
+14.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Wright is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Nelson
Wright
Home
48.7% (419)
58.5% (41)
Away
41.3% (368)
42.5% (40)
By Period
Nelson
Wright
P1
44.6%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
46.2%
P3
43.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
39.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%