Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Wright 45.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 65.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 78.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Nelson
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
43.9% (758)
+7.4%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
50.7% (67)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
40.0% (5)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Nelson
Wright
Home
52.5% (590)
46.3% (406)
Away
51.7% (619)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Nelson
Wright
P1
50.5%
46.8%
P2
54.4%
42.6%
P3
51.4%
44.4%
OT
47.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |