Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Blueger 50.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Blueger leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 74.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 51.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Nelson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
21
(39 meetings)
18
21
Nelson
Blueger
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
11
3
Nelson
Blueger
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
3
13
Nelson
Blueger
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
4
5
Nelson
Blueger
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
52.3% (3,540)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
50.0% (76)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
42.6% (1,100)
+1.2%
On power play, Nelson has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blueger
Home
50.0% (5,845)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Nelson
Blueger
P1
48.7%
49.2%
P2
48.5%
52.3%
P3
47.7%
48.5%
OT
45.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |