Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Blueger 52.8% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.5%
Defensive zone
Blueger 78.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 54.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Nelson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nelson
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Nelson
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Nelson
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
54.2% (590)
-8.1%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
71.4% (14)
-36.9%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
48.0% (177)
-17.6%
On power play, Blueger has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blueger
Home
48.7% (419)
53.2% (378)
Away
41.3% (368)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Nelson
Blueger
P1
44.6%
54.3%
P2
47.3%
56.7%
P3
43.0%
48.9%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |