Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Blueger 50.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 65.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Nelson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Nelson
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
3
Nelson
Blueger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
53.3% (745)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
45.5% (11)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
41.7% (259)
+10.2%
On power play, Nelson has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blueger
Home
52.5% (590)
53.4% (504)
Away
51.7% (619)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Nelson
Blueger
P1
50.5%
46.6%
P2
54.4%
53.0%
P3
51.4%
50.8%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |