Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Blueger 48.1% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 69.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 61.3%
Neutral zone
Blueger 51.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Nelson
Blueger
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
50.2% (223)
+0.5%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
62.5% (8)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
31.9% (47)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blueger
Home
52.3% (621)
50.0% (192)
Away
48.9% (618)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Nelson
Blueger
P1
48.4%
46.2%
P2
53.5%
51.5%
P3
50.3%
43.2%
OT
41.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%