Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Nosek 58.0% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 93.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 71.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Nelson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Nelson
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
59.7% (469)
-12.8%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
100.0% (4)
-42.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
56.5% (124)
-31.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nosek
Home
48.9% (521)
59.0% (295)
Away
45.5% (516)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Nelson
Nosek
P1
45.9%
56.3%
P2
48.0%
61.9%
P3
48.0%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |