Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Nosek 46.9% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Nelson
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
48.5% (66)
+2.2%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
100.0% (1)
-41.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
29.6% (27)
+13.8%
On power play, Nosek has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nosek
Home
52.3% (621)
44.0% (25)
Away
48.9% (618)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Nelson
Nosek
P1
48.4%
46.4%
P2
53.5%
34.2%
P3
50.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%