Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Jost 42.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 86.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Nelson
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Nelson
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Nelson
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
40.8% (314)
+9.1%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
37.5% (8)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
39.4% (104)
-10.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jost
Home
49.8% (458)
42.8% (264)
Away
49.0% (506)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Nelson
Jost
P1
50.1%
37.4%
P2
45.4%
40.5%
P3
52.7%
43.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |