Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Jost 45.0% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Nelson
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
39.3% (84)
+11.4%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
0.0% (1)
+58.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
50.0% (6)
-6.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Jost is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jost
Home
52.3% (621)
38.5% (52)
Away
48.9% (618)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Nelson
Jost
P1
48.4%
40.6%
P2
53.5%
38.9%
P3
50.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%