Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Jost 45.0% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 53.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Nelson
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
43.3% (194)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
25.0% (8)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jost
Home
48.7% (419)
39.7% (78)
Away
41.3% (368)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Nelson
Jost
P1
44.6%
40.5%
P2
47.3%
43.2%
P3
43.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
39.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%