Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Nylander 45.4% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 74.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 71.2%
Neutral zone
Nylander 53.3%
Result
William Nylander favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Nelson
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Nelson
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
40.4% (47)
+9.6%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
0.0% (5)
+56.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Nelson is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Nelson shoots left. Nylander is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nylander
Home
50.4% (472)
39.4% (33)
Away
48.6% (477)
31.6% (19)
By Period
Nelson
Nylander
P1
47.2%
38.5%
P2
53.4%
23.8%
P3
47.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
18.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Nylander
36.0%▼
45.5%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | William Nylander |