Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Nylander 45.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 78.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.8%
Neutral zone
Nylander 58.6%
Result
William Nylander favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Nelson
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Nelson
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
41.0% (61)
+9.7%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
0.0% (5)
+58.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Nylander is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nylander
Home
52.3% (621)
42.1% (38)
Away
48.9% (618)
32.1% (28)
By Period
Nelson
Nylander
P1
48.4%
37.5%
P2
53.5%
31.0%
P3
50.3%
47.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | William Nylander |