Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Nylander 47.2% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 55.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Nelson
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
46.0% (50)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
33.3% (6)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
0.0% (3)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Nylander is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nylander
Home
48.9% (521)
40.6% (32)
Away
45.5% (516)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Nelson
Nylander
P1
45.9%
50.0%
P2
48.0%
40.7%
P3
48.0%
35.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
42.4%