Scouting Report
William Nylander holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Nylander 48.4% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 60.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 65.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Nelson
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
46.0% (100)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
52.6% (19)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Nylander is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nylander
Home
48.7% (419)
53.6% (69)
Away
41.3% (368)
38.0% (50)
By Period
Nelson
Nylander
P1
44.6%
51.5%
P2
47.3%
37.5%
P3
43.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
39.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
47.1%