Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Carter 53.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Jarnkrok
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
Jarnkrok
Carter
Last 10: Jarnkrok 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Jarnkrok
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Jarnkrok
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Jarnkrok
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
53.3% (8,728)
-4.0%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
57.3% (1,554)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
46.3% (1,087)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,270).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Carter
Home
50.6% (2,253)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Carter
P1
47.8%
53.6%
P2
48.0%
52.8%
P3
48.8%
53.1%
OT
40.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 31, 2015 | OT | 01:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |