Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Carter 60.1% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 71.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.2%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 61.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Jarnkrok
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jarnkrok
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
65.6% (262)
-11.9%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
68.3% (63)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
50.5% (99)
-0.5%
On power play, Carter has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jarnkrok is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Carter
Home
50.7% (71)
64.3% (207)
Away
47.5% (61)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Carter
P1
52.1%
65.3%
P2
40.5%
60.1%
P3
56.1%
63.8%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |