Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 70.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 77.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Jarnkrok
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jarnkrok
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
59.7% (727)
-18.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
68.1% (72)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
53.2% (139)
-3.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jarnkrok is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Carter
Home
55.3% (47)
58.7% (455)
Away
34.0% (47)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Carter
P1
33.3%
61.3%
P2
50.0%
57.1%
P3
48.5%
59.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |