Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Carter 56.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 75.8%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 63.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 72.1%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Jarnkrok
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jarnkrok
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Jarnkrok
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
57.9% (885)
-6.1%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
61.7% (133)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
45.4% (119)
-1.9%
On power play, Carter has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Carter
Home
53.0% (281)
58.2% (543)
Away
48.4% (186)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Carter
P1
51.6%
57.5%
P2
50.6%
57.1%
P3
51.5%
55.8%
OT
50.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |