Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Carter 51.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.8%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 73.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 64.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Jarnkrok
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jarnkrok
Carter
Last 5: Jarnkrok 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Jarnkrok
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
53.4% (1,137)
-2.7%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
48.7% (154)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (144)
42.7% (124)
-2.4%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Jarnkrok is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Carter is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Carter
Home
52.4% (489)
54.8% (753)
Away
46.0% (426)
48.6% (662)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Carter
P1
51.9%
52.8%
P2
50.3%
53.0%
P3
46.4%
49.9%
OT
37.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |