Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 53.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.2%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 60.4%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Jarnkrok
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jarnkrok
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Jarnkrok
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
52.3% (560)
-11.2%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
57.5% (113)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
62.5% (16)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Jarnkrok is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Pavelski
Home
55.3% (47)
54.2% (360)
Away
34.0% (47)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Pavelski
P1
33.3%
54.5%
P2
50.0%
56.7%
P3
48.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |