Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Tavares 50.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 65.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 54.9%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Last 7: Jarnkrok 5-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Jarnkrok
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
0
Jarnkrok
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
48.7% (1,202)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
59.3% (305)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (144)
47.9% (121)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jarnkrok is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tavares is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Home
52.4% (489)
52.1% (841)
Away
46.0% (426)
49.0% (787)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tavares
P1
51.9%
52.2%
P2
50.3%
50.7%
P3
46.4%
49.7%
OT
37.5%
37.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |