Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-13.6%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.3%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Jarnkrok
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
57.5% (914)
-16.4%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
60.5% (309)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Home
55.3% (47)
61.0% (661)
Away
34.0% (47)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tavares
P1
33.3%
58.6%
P2
50.0%
57.8%
P3
48.5%
58.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%