Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 56.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Jarnkrok
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
60.9% (1,043)
-9.1%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
60.4% (278)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
47.6% (21)
-4.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Home
53.0% (281)
63.5% (684)
Away
48.4% (186)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tavares
P1
51.6%
60.3%
P2
50.6%
60.4%
P3
51.5%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%