Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.6% vs 57.8%). Jarnkrok wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs Tavares 57.2% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 62.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Jarnkrok
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
58.0% (914)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
57.9% (19)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jarnkrok is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Home
66.7% (18)
57.8% (614)
Away
46.7% (15)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tavares
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
72.7%
56.9%
P3
50.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%