Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Tavares 52.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 53.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Last 8: Jarnkrok 5-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Jarnkrok
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
52.9% (1,239)
-0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
54.7% (309)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
50.0% (178)
-6.0%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Jarnkrok is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Tavares is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Tavares
Home
52.7% (241)
55.0% (864)
Away
50.0% (278)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Tavares
P1
49.4%
51.8%
P2
51.7%
51.4%
P3
51.9%
54.5%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |