Calle Jarnkrok vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 44.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 47.4% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 52.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 63.4%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (56)
44.7% (1,053)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
36.8% (95)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
65.0% (20)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jarnkrok is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Jarnkrok shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Home
55.3% (47)
49.4% (553)
Away
34.0% (47)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
P1
33.3%
45.3%
P2
50.0%
42.7%
P3
48.5%
45.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |