Calle Jarnkrok vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.9% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.0%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 62.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (16)
50.0% (992)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
34.4% (32)
+24.4%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jarnkrok is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Jarnkrok shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Home
66.7% (18)
53.3% (591)
Away
46.7% (15)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
72.7%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
57.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%