Calle Jarnkrok vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
45.5% (1,190)
+8.2%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
56.4% (94)
-46.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
40.0% (30)
+10.0%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Jarnkrok is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Jarnkrok shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
Home
50.7% (71)
47.8% (670)
Away
47.5% (61)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Jarnkrok
MacKinnon
P1
52.1%
45.3%
P2
40.5%
48.5%
P3
56.1%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%