Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Gagner 48.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 83.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 68.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Last 6: Jarnkrok 2-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Jarnkrok
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
46.5% (310)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
50.4% (115)
+11.7%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jarnkrok is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gagner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Home
52.4% (489)
52.4% (212)
Away
46.0% (426)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gagner
P1
51.9%
46.2%
P2
50.3%
52.2%
P3
46.4%
43.6%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |