Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Gagner 46.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 75.4%
Defensive zone
Gagner 50.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Last 10: Jarnkrok 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
4
Jarnkrok
Gagner
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
4
Jarnkrok
Gagner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
45.4% (4,699)
+3.9%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
51.5% (928)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
35.0% (226)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,270).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Home
50.6% (2,261)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gagner
P1
47.7%
44.6%
P2
48.0%
46.1%
P3
48.8%
47.3%
OT
40.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |