Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Gagner 52.4% (-13.3%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 61.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 59.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Jarnkrok
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
76.5% (17)
-22.8%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
28.6% (7)
-18.6%
On even strength, Gagner has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jarnkrok is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Home
50.7% (71)
75.0% (16)
Away
47.5% (61)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gagner
P1
52.1%
25.0%
P2
40.5%
64.3%
P3
56.1%
83.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%