Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Gagner 47.5% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 69.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 70.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 51.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Jarnkrok
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
51.3% (158)
+0.5%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
66.7% (36)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
33.6% (110)
+9.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Home
53.0% (281)
53.2% (154)
Away
48.4% (186)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gagner
P1
51.6%
35.6%
P2
50.6%
52.7%
P3
51.5%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%