Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 56.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.9%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Jarnkrok
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
56.5% (712)
-4.7%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
59.7% (67)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
44.9% (49)
-1.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Home
53.0% (281)
58.5% (402)
Away
48.4% (186)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Seguin
P1
51.6%
58.4%
P2
50.6%
54.7%
P3
51.5%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |