Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Seguin 55.4% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Jarnkrok
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
56.9% (478)
-3.2%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
57.4% (54)
-47.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
51.3% (76)
-1.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jarnkrok is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Home
50.7% (71)
57.4% (317)
Away
47.5% (61)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Seguin
P1
52.1%
50.3%
P2
40.5%
60.4%
P3
56.1%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%