Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 71.4%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 75.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 67.8%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
19
(32 meetings)
13
19
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Last 10: Jarnkrok 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Jarnkrok
Seguin
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Jarnkrok
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
10
Jarnkrok
Seguin
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.4%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
55.9% (810)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
49.3% (762)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,270).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Seguin
Home
50.6% (2,261)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Seguin
P1
47.7%
52.8%
P2
48.0%
53.3%
P3
48.8%
54.7%
OT
40.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 23, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 15, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |