Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Gourde 49.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 64.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
49.1% (731)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
54.3% (81)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
48.2% (85)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Home
53.0% (281)
50.9% (479)
Away
48.4% (186)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gourde
P1
51.6%
51.2%
P2
50.6%
49.8%
P3
51.5%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |