Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.6% vs Gourde 48.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 56.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 70.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Jarnkrok
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Jarnkrok
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (82)
48.0% (914)
+5.7%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
54.2% (48)
-44.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
43.9% (123)
+6.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Home
50.7% (71)
50.2% (512)
Away
47.5% (61)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gourde
P1
52.1%
50.0%
P2
40.5%
45.3%
P3
56.1%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |