Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Gourde 48.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 53.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 52.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Jarnkrok
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Jarnkrok
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
48.5% (4,763)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
57.5% (367)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
39.9% (534)
+0.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gourde is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,873).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gourde
Home
50.6% (2,253)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gourde
P1
47.8%
50.4%
P2
48.0%
47.2%
P3
48.8%
47.2%
OT
40.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |