Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Atkinson 47.0% vs Mercer 37.5% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 53.9%
Defensive zone
Mercer 52.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.4%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Atkinson
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Atkinson
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
36.4% (11)
35.4% (548)
+1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.9% (35)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
0.0% (7)
+20.0%
On power play, Mercer has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Atkinson is 14.3% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Atkinson shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Atkinson
Mercer
Home
12.5% (8)
39.9% (283)
Away
44.4% (9)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Atkinson
Mercer
P1
33.3%
37.7%
P2
0.0%
32.1%
P3
50.0%
37.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
29.4%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%