Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Atkinson wins 28.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Atkinson 39.7% vs Mercer 39.9% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Atkinson 60.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 57.1%
Neutral zone
Atkinson 50.9%
Result
Cam Atkinson favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Atkinson
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Atkinson
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (237)
39.1% (1,412)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
41.1% (90)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (30)
40.0% (45)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Atkinson is 28.7% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Atkinson shoots right. Mercer is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Atkinson
Mercer
Home
37.3% (142)
40.0% (755)
Away
35.1% (148)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Atkinson
Mercer
P1
35.1%
38.2%
P2
33.8%
39.2%
P3
39.3%
41.1%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
32.3%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%