Scouting Report
Cam Atkinson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Atkinson 49.6% vs Mercer 46.3% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Atkinson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 66.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 60.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Atkinson
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Atkinson
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (16)
43.6% (241)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (14)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
70.0% (10)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Atkinson is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Atkinson shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Atkinson
Mercer
Home
35.3% (17)
41.7% (120)
Away
75.0% (8)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Atkinson
Mercer
P1
60.0%
44.6%
P2
41.7%
45.4%
P3
33.3%
45.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Atkinson
38.0%▬
37.0%
48.0%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%