Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Verhaeghe wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 46.2% vs Paul 52.9% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 73.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.3%
Neutral zone
Verhaeghe 58.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Verhaeghe
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Verhaeghe
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Verhaeghe
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (38)
53.1% (277)
-11.0%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
58.7% (46)
-23.7%
On power play, Paul has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Verhaeghe is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Paul is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Paul
Home
35.7% (28)
52.9% (155)
Away
43.3% (30)
54.3% (197)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Paul
P1
41.7%
55.6%
P2
38.9%
56.7%
P3
40.0%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
30.0%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
38.0%▼
42.0%
39.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |