Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Verhaeghe wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 44.1% vs Paul 53.3% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 68.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 67.4%
Neutral zone
Verhaeghe 60.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Verhaeghe
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Verhaeghe
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Verhaeghe
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (55)
53.2% (327)
-15.0%
Power Play
33.3% (24)
61.4% (57)
-28.1%
On power play, Paul has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Verhaeghe is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Paul
Home
35.3% (34)
54.6% (183)
Away
37.8% (45)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Paul
P1
42.9%
56.3%
P2
34.5%
54.8%
P3
33.3%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
34.0%▼
40.0%
36.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |