Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Verhaeghe wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Verhaeghe 49.6% vs Paul 53.4% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Verhaeghe 71.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 69.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Verhaeghe
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Verhaeghe
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (41)
53.8% (753)
-5.0%
On even strength, Paul has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Verhaeghe is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Verhaeghe shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Verhaeghe
Paul
Home
50.0% (26)
54.2% (450)
Away
46.7% (15)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Verhaeghe
Paul
P1
47.1%
58.2%
P2
46.7%
50.6%
P3
55.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
20.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Verhaeghe
34.0%▼
40.0%
48.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%