Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Mercer 45.3% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 73.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 87.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Cizikas
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cizikas
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Cizikas
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
43.2% (148)
+13.2%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
40.0% (10)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
28.6% (7)
+12.0%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Cizikas is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Cizikas shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Mercer
Home
55.0% (473)
39.0% (82)
Away
51.7% (466)
45.8% (83)
By Period
Cizikas
Mercer
P1
54.9%
45.5%
P2
50.8%
44.0%
P3
54.5%
36.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |