Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Mercer 43.3% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 80.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 68.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Cizikas
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cizikas
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Mercer
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Cizikas
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
41.0% (212)
+15.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
35.7% (14)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
36.4% (11)
-3.1%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Mercer
Home
55.4% (303)
45.2% (126)
Away
54.9% (308)
35.1% (111)
By Period
Cizikas
Mercer
P1
53.0%
34.5%
P2
56.0%
43.4%
P3
56.2%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%