Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Malkin 49.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 96.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 88.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Cizikas
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Cizikas
Malkin
Last 10: Cizikas 7-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cizikas
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
49.0% (811)
+7.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
55.8% (43)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
50.0% (2)
-9.4%
On power play, Malkin has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Malkin
Home
55.0% (473)
52.3% (438)
Away
51.7% (466)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Cizikas
Malkin
P1
54.9%
51.3%
P2
50.8%
50.8%
P3
54.5%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |